Rule book
The exact rule sets that generate every setup, plus the historical performance of each one.
01
Price makes a higher high while MACD makes a lower high (or the mirror at lows). The setup only scores highly when an unfilled CME gap sits in the direction of the reversal.
Best for catching turning points after an extended move.
02
Not a separate entry, but the rule that now gates every other one. A divergence taken against the 200 EMA scores the full 20 trend points; one that agrees with the trend scores 3, because in the replay the counter-trend version won far more often than the trend-aligned version.
Best thought of as the reason a setup is high or low score.
03
An unfilled gap within 6% of spot becomes the target, and the daily divergence supplies the entry timing so you are not buying the magnet blindly.
Best when a gap sits close to the current price.
04
The same divergence direction on 4h, daily and weekly. Rarest and highest scoring pattern in the model.
Best for larger, slower swing positions.
05
Spot drifts away from the Friday CME close on thin weekend liquidity. When divergence confirms the drift is exhausted, the trade fades back to the closing level.
Best used Sunday night into Monday. Only the long version of this fade is published, since the terminal trades Bitcoin long only.
06
Price makes a higher low while MACD makes a lower low, which reads as a pullback inside a move rather than a top or bottom. Scored on the same 100 point scale and managed the same way.
Best for buying dips inside an established Bitcoin uptrend. Adding it took the replay from 22 to 37 setups since 2018 while raising the win rate.
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